(Erie County Pennsylvania Republican Party) Susquehanna Polling and Research results for Pennsylvania released
today shows Mitt Romney leading President Obama 49% to 45% among 1376
likely voters. Two percent are undecided and 3% are for other
candidates.
In the same sample Republican Tom Smith leads Senator Casey by two
percentage points in the race for the United States Senate seat from
Pennsylvania. Smith is at 48% to Casey’s 46% according to this poll.
Diana Irey Vaughan (R) is tied with McCord at 45% each, David
Freed(R) trails Kane by 45% to 47% and Maher(R) leads DePasuale 45% to
44%.
This poll shows the highly competitive nature of all statewide races
where there are no highly favored candidates and it also reveals that
Pennsylvania is definitely in play for both the presidential and
senatorial races which will determine control of the direction of this
nation between two differing visions on energy independence, education,
international trade, balancing the budget and support for small
businesses.
Link:
Related:
Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts
Showing posts with label poll. Show all posts
Friday, November 2, 2012
In The Last Few Hours…Sudden Danger Signs In Polling
By Dick Morris
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.
More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks.
But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.
We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
Link:
Related:
As Election Day approaches, we must be very sensitive to last minute changes in the polls. Remember that President George W. Bush fell from a 4 point lead into a tie over the last weekend in 2000 and Clinton rose from a tie to a 5 point win in the last weekend of 1992.
With that caution in mind, a danger signal comes from the latest Rasmussen Poll reflecting a two point gain for Obama. Whereas before the storm, Rasmussen showed Romney two ahead, he now has the race tied at 48-48.
That is troublesome.
And, in Pennsylvania, Romney led on Wednesday night by two points but on Thursday night’s polling, he was tied.We have also seem slippage for Romney in Michigan.
More troubling, Rasmussen shows a two point gain for Obama in job approval rising from 48% to 50% in the current poll.
All of these changes are, no doubt, related to hurricane Sandy.
Nobody really knows what the impact of hurricane Sandy will be on the election. Until its waves crashed into the New Jersey shore, the election was well in hand for the Romney campaign.
Coming off strong debate performances in which he debunked Obama’s negative attacks on him, the former Massachusetts governor was doing very well. Obama was reeling, unable to regain his footing, in search of a message, and bedeviled by questions about his increasingly obvious coverup of the Libyan attacks.
But after the storm? Who knows? We have never had a storm so close to a national election, much less one as close as this is.
Many a governor or mayor has recovered from political oblivion by actively running around his state seeming to coordinate storm relief. And just as many have fallen apart because of a failure to clean up promptly.
It may be that Obama’s visit to New Jersey and the high profile (figurative) kisses bestowed on him by nominal Republican Mayor Bloomberg of New York and real Republican Chris Christie of New Jersey might have helped him.
Perhaps he is erasing the image of a nit-picking, petulant president deep into negative charges against his opponent and replacing it with the image of an executive handling a tough situation for our country.
This race is not over yet! And with a media determined to re-elect Obama, we may see the president’s recovery continue unless we step up our own efforts to thwart it.
We are still likely to win. The undecided vote always goes against the incumbent and all the polling suggests we will be more successful than they will be at turning out our vote. But, early warning signs must be headed.
Bottom line: WORK LIKE HELL!!!
Link:
Related:
Gallup Shows Big Party Shift – Dick Morris TV: Lunch Alert!
By Dick Morris on November 2, 2012
Dear Friend,
In this video commentary, I discuss some important poll findings from Gallup that is a game changer for the election. Tune in!
Link:
Dear Friend,
In this video commentary, I discuss some important poll findings from Gallup that is a game changer for the election. Tune in!
Link:
Tuesday, October 23, 2012
Rasmussen: R 50% O 46%
"The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Tuesday shows
Mitt Romney attracting support from 50% of voters nationwide, while
President Obama earns the vote from 46%. One percent (1%) prefers some
other candidate, and two percent (2%) are undecided.
Other than brief convention bounces, this is the first time either candidate has led by more than three points in months."
Link:
Other than brief convention bounces, this is the first time either candidate has led by more than three points in months."
Link:
Wednesday, April 4, 2012
Vote For Cardinal Dolan
From Father Z:
The dreadful TIME Magazine (dreadful when it comes to anything about the Catholic Church) is having a poll and you should participate.
From their site:
The 2012 TIME 100 PollCast your votes for the leaders, artists, innovators, icons and heroes that you think are the most influential people in the world. Official voting ends on Friday, April 6, and the poll winner will be included in the TIME 100 issue. The complete TIME 100 list will be chosen by our editors and revealed on TIME.com on Tuesday, April 17...
Tuesday, November 15, 2011
Poll: Gingrich scores best vs. Obama among voters today
By Steven Thomma | McClatchy Newspapers
WASHINGTON — Newt Gingrich is the strongest Republican candidate when matched head to head against Democratic President Barack Obama, according to a McClatchy-Marist Poll released Tuesday.The former speaker of the House of Representatives is neck and neck with the incumbent president, back just 2 percentage points among registered voters. Obama leads 47 percent to 45 percent.
Former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney is next closest, trailing Obama by 4 percentage points. In that matchup, Obama leads 48 percent to 44 percent.
Rep. Ron Paul of Texas is the third best bet for the Republicans right now, 8 points back from Obama. No other Republican is within single digits of Obama. The survey has an error margin of plus or minus 3 percentage points.
The poll, coming as Gingrich has surged within the Republican field, could boost Gingrich's argument that he would be the party's best voice to debate Obama in the general election.
"He runs better," said Lee Miringoff, director of Marist College Institute for Public Opinion in New York, which conducted the national survey. "It's a closer race with him than with Romney or the others..."
Monday, November 23, 2009
Friday, August 28, 2009
Poll: What is your reaction to Bishop Joseph Martino's expected resignation?
The poll is on the left in this article in The Times-Tribune:
What is your reaction to Bishop Joseph Martino's expected resignation?
As early as 2004, he said he would "very, very seriously consider" denying Holy Communion to politicians who have supported abortion rights, then strengthened that promise during the prelude to the 2008 election, when he said he would deny Communion to public officials, including then-vice presidential candidate Joe Biden, "who are Catholic and who persist in public support for abortion and other intrinsic evils."
His most striking interjection into the debate came after his unannounced arrival at a political forum at a Honesdale church in 2008, when he criticized the crowd for discussing a document released by the U.S. Conference of Catholic Bishops that defined abortion and euthanasia, as well as racism, torture and genocide, as among the most important issues for Catholic voters.
"No social issue has caused the death of 50 million people," he told the audience at St. John's Catholic Church, then added, "This is madness, people."
In several public letters, Bishop Martino criticized the abortion-related voting record of Sen. Bob Casey - a Catholic Democrat from Scranton opposed to abortion rights - whom he accused of "cooperating with ... evil."
He threatened to close St. Peter's Cathedral during Scranton's St. Patrick's Day celebrations if local organizers honored elected officials who support abortion rights; he sought documentation from four local Catholic universities to prove they do not provide or encourage the use of contraceptives; and, at the national bishops' meeting in Baltimore last year, he told fellow bishops they eventually will have to address their collective "reticence to speak to Catholic politicians who are not just reluctant, but stridently anti-life."
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